My very basic arithmetic says:  27 games left for us to play.  Based on last season's table (when there were  three fewer teams playing )..  you would have  needed 45 points to be safe on a 4 down basis. (Bath on that figure would have been relegated and  Braintree survive only on goal difference). Extrapolating from that, and adding in the extra fixtures  we need to be looking at 52 points or so to be safe this season....  52 points minus the 16 already gained means ... 36 points from 27 games... 1.3 points a game. I'm quite sure this figure or something near to it is on Gary and the Chairman's respective whiteboards.  Realistically, it probably translates to good home form and solid away performances.  It is a little worrying that the defence seems a lot more porous  of late. It was the bulwark of Mike Cook's excellent Away record last season and Gary's first few games in charge.  KP was important but his absence hasn't surely made that much difference.  I'll reiterate what i've said earlier, though.  For all the very genuine worry  and concern expressed  in this thread  (which I share),  rationally,  the Club has all the fundamenttals for relative success. From the Chairman  downwards our structure seem stable.  There is certainly no crisis... either financial or in the dressing-room
(we hope).  It's a bleak time of year and we have a blizzard of fixtures   which seem to ease a bit in difficulty from  February onwards.  I think "scrapping" is probably in the DNA of the Club at the moment and equips us better for a fight than  some others. The only thing we, as Forum hacks,  can bring to that fight is unstinting support. COYB. If is there any stato out there who can correct my Maths please do so. Not my strong point!!
 

We don't have a stand out threat going forward that opponents fear, for all the good teamwork and cohesiveness on display. Meanwhile the best defence in the league has become the leakiest. Some points out of either or both Bath games would settle the nerves but although I hope to be proved wrong, I fear big disappointment and then it's crunch time for Horgan and Coupe.